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Friday, October 9, 2026

Obama Makes Trump’s Worst Nightmare Come True

Former President Barack Obama will headline a fundraiser for Senate Democrats in the Washington, D.C., area on Oct. 7, 2026, his first appearance at a Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) fundraiser this midterm cycle.

Obama is still a popular and influential figure among Democratic voters, and the goal of the event is to give his party a financial boost. The fundraiser lands in the closing stretch before the Nov. 3 elections, a moment framed as the worst possible one for President Donald Trump’s Republicans.

At the event, Obama will join Sen. Lisa Blunt Rochester of Delaware, a DSCC vice chair, for a conversation centered on “the importance of flipping the Senate and the stakes of the election,” a DSCC spokesperson said.

The fundraiser is one piece of a busy fall schedule for the former president. He is set to campaign in Detroit on Oct. 24 with Michigan Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed. He has also taped about two dozen ads for Democratic candidates for governor and Senate.

Obama previously headlined a Nov. 1, 2025, rally in the New Jersey governor’s race. The dedication ceremony marking the opening of the Barack Obama Presidential Center in Chicago drew him on June 18.

Senate Math and Red States

Democrats need to flip four seats to take control of the upper chamber in November. They are increasingly optimistic about their odds as several red states move into play.

Democrat James Talarico leads Republican Ken Paxton, the candidate Trump endorsed, in multiple polls in Texas. A Talarico victory would make him the first Democrat to win a statewide election in that state since 1994, and the first to capture a U.S. Senate seat there since 1988.

Not every indicator favors Democrats. The party faces a staggering spending disadvantage in Georgia’s tight race for governor.

Registered voters told NBC News pollsters in September that an Obama endorsement would make them more likely to support a candidate — 43 percent said so overall, a figure that climbed to 77 percent among Democrats. Democrats are likely to view his involvement as a lift as voters become more engaged in the midterms.

Republicans Keep Their Distance

Trump is recording near-record-low approval ratings. Multiple GOP lawmakers have concluded that putting space between themselves and the 80-year-old Trump could help them in November, and they are scrubbing references to him from campaign websites and publicly criticizing his unpopular policies.

CNN data analyst Harry Enten reported that fewer than 1 percent of Republican political ads airing in the first half of September made any mention of Trump; Democratic ads did so 20 percent of the time.

Forecasters widely predict the GOP will lose control of the House. Analysts point to voter anger at Trump’s policies, to the way he has managed the economy, to his war with Iran, and to how narrowly his party holds the lower chamber.

Should the Senate follow, Democrats would run Congress through Trump’s final two years in office. That outcome would nearly mirror Nov. 10, 2016, the day Obama welcomed then-President-elect Trump to the Oval Office for the symbolic start of the transition after Republicans won the White House and both chambers.

Obama Presses Party on AI

Nearly 10 years out of the White House, Obama remains his party’s standard-setter, and he is regularly in touch with the rising generation of Democratic leaders. He has been pressing likely 2028 presidential candidates on artificial intelligence, telling them that the response he has watched unfold to date falls far short of what the problem, and the politics around it, demand.

Former Federal Trade Commission Chair Lina Khan and former Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo are also demanding more from the emerging field.

Leaders of every major AI company have talked with Obama, among them Sam Altman of OpenAI as well as executives at Google and Anthropic. He is also consulting outside experts and informal advisers, a group that includes Jason Goldman, the former Twitter executive who ran his Office of Digital Strategy. He is reading deeply on the subject and favors articles by Ezra Klein, Derek Thompson, Charlie Warzel and Casey Newton.

Several AI leaders were Trump’s guests at the White House on Tuesday, Sept. 29, where he announced a new industry commitment to police itself. That day, he signed an executive order renaming artificial intelligence “super intelligence.”

The president’s lead has been followed by most Republicans in Washington, who have pushed back against broad federal regulation of AI. No consensus plan has emerged on the Democratic side either, and that includes Obama. Some 2028 hopefuls are wary of landing on the wrong side of the AI industry’s enormous campaign spending.

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